Economist Predicts A 35 Chance Of Home Price Crash
Innes McFee, chief global economist at the independent economics advisory firm Oxford Economics created a computer model of past housing recessions to see what’s likely to happen to residential real estate prices, given today’s economic conditions. He published his findings in a research note. Home prices, which soared during the pandemic, have begun to fall as skyrocketing mortgage rates have turned the market on its head. The U.S. housing market has a little over a one in three chance of falling by more than 10% (which he defines as a crash), McFee’s model predicts....